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[BROOKLYNWORM]

BROOKLYNWORM'S PICKS AND SELECTIONS

(45) DALLAS @ N.Y. GIANTS (-4)

The match up isn't even close. I will show you why the Giants, should not only win this game, they will also cover the spread. The Dallas Cowboy's offensive line hasn't improved from last season, and they may even be worse. They can't stop the opposing defense , from pressuring them up the middle.The Giants front seven is healthy on defense, and their specialty is to rush the passer. QB Tony Romo, will be under pressure, and blitzed often, and won't get much help from his Wide Receivers, or Tight End. TE Witten, although listed questionable, will probably not play. Wide Receivers Bryant (knee) , and Austin (Hamstring), are listed at probable. Even if this receiver corp suits up, those leg injuries will slow them down, and won't be at 100%. The Giants offensive line is good, but not tremendous. They are an average group, but play as a strong unit, with experience, versatility, and have plenty of depth. They know how to run block, and open holes for their running backs. The Cowboys are weak on their defensive line. Although Dallas on paper improved their defensive roster, there are still many holes. The most glaring weakness on the Cowboy's defense, is their secondary. Their Corner Backs, and Safeties, are all banged up from the Pre Season. The Safety position is their biggest concern, and are vulnerable to the long vertical pass play. The injury to Dallas's NT Jay Ratcliff, will disrupt their pass rush. De Marcus Ware, will not get any help on pressuring Eli Manning, and may be double teamed. Dallas, will have to focus more on stuffing the Giants running game up the middle, and the Giants have a chance to run for over 100 yards in this game. The Giants don't have many injury issues,like they did in 2011. So the Giants come into this contest relatively healthy. There is concern about New York's coverage in their secondary, however, their explosive pass rush, and in combination with the Cowboys offensive weapons being somewhat lamed, They should be able to contain Romo. The Giants, on offense, lost their #3 receiver, and that leaves Nix , and Cruz as their play makers. They should be okay in this match up, since the G- Men can establish the run against the Boys up the middle, and this will allow Eli time in the pocket, when he utilizes his play action passes. The Cowboys only hope in this game, is to establish their Running attack with De Marco Murray. Easier said , then done, considering Dallas struggled to run the football against New York, in 2011. PREDICTED SCORE: NEW YORK 24 DALLAS 17.
SU WINNER (MONEY LINE) : NEW YORK
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: NEW YORK (-4)
OVER/UNDER THE TOTAL: UNDER 45.

(43) INDIANAPOLIS @ CHICAGO (-9.5)

We all know that the Colts entered this season, in a rebuilding mode. Chicago, has surrounded QB Jay Cutler with talent on the offense, and threw out Mike Martz's playbook. The Bears will now have a more balanced attack, and no longer will live or die by the pass. The Colts rebuilding process, starts on the offensive line. The Colts lack depth, and talent at this position, and cannot run, nor pass block. Rookie QB Andrew Luck, can expect to take his lumps, while learning his craft in the NFL. Overall, the Colts offense is young, and talented, but all lack experience at key positions. The Colts defense, isn't much better. They have Freeny, and Mathis returning, however, the rest of the defense is suspect. The Colts don't have a good Nose Tackle, to stop the run, and their secondary is weak vs. the pass. The Chicago Bears, on the other hand, are a completely different situation. Their offensive line was awful in 2011,and management, did nothing to address this line, in the 2012 draft. They are terrible pass blockers, and allowed 49 sacks last season. However, Jay Cutler, now has play makers working with him on the offense.They upgraded their Receiver positions, and added to their running attack, Michael Bush, to now compliment Forte in their back field. Defensively, the Bears, have a good looking defense, from their front seven, to their secondary. The Bears have a good pass rush, to go along with good pass coverage personnel . In this match up, the Bears should win this game hands down. However, there is a kink in the armor on defense, going into this contest. Their leader Urlacher (knee), may not play on Sunday. Even if he does suits up, he will not be at 100%. This leaves them vulnerable up the middle vs. the run, and can weaken their defense as a whole. This will allow Andrew Luck, to run the ball , and slow down the pass rush of Julius Peppers. He will shorten his passes, and play dink and dunk football down the field.The Colts would like to keep their defense off the field as much as possible. If not, QB Jay Cutler, and his offense, will roll up the score. Expect the Bears to rush the ball with little resistance. This will slow Freeny, and Mathis, from pass rushing Cutler from the outside, and will freeze them at the line, when they convert to play action passing. Cutler, is back with his old mate, Brandon Marshall, and these two have a strong chemistry together, to make things happen vertically. The Colts secondary lacks depth, and experience, and are susceptible to the long pass. Bears offense should easily be able to spread the Colts defense, with their new balanced attack. PREDICTED SCORE: CHICAGO 27 INDIANAPOLIS 20.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: (MONEY LINE) CHICAGO
AGAINST THE SPREAD: INDIANAPOLIS
OVER/UNDER TOTAL: OVER 43.

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(43.5) PHILADELPHIA VS. CLEVELAND (+8.5)

Philadelphia, started to turn around their 2011 season in the second half, and they have their pieces in place in 2012. Cleveland, on the other hand , continues to sink as an NFL franchise, and their play on the field will continue to suffer. The Eagles, have an experienced, and solid offensive line. They have depth, and they will play smash mouth football, when they run block up the middle. This will enable Le Sean Mc Coy , and Michael Vick, to run the ball at will against most defenses. The offense in general, has speed, and quickness , that can beat you with the pass, or with the run. On defense, Philadelphia's front seven, are outstanding, and are filled with play makers. Opponents will find it tough to run the ball up their gut. The only weakness on defense, may be their Line Backer positions. In order for the Eagles to contend for a Super Bowl, is to keep their QB Michael Vick healthy.Cleveland, has some decent starters on their offensive line that can run block. However, they lack any depth at that position, and they haven't the personnel to replace any injured player on their line. On offense , they are too young at all the key positions, and lack NFL experience. They also play in the toughest division , in the NFC. They will look to run, run, and run the football, and hope their offensive line can provide smash mouth blocking. So expect many mistakes, and turnovers, to be committed during the course of this season.On defense, the Browns can't stop the run, and may have one good Corner Back. Their Safeties, and secondary are suspect, although at times they have a decent pass rush. The defense that was in the top ten in points allowed last season, are going to plunge in 2012. In this match up, you can see that the Eagles are going to romp the Browns. Cleveland is so bad, that the Eagles beat them at almost every position. Keep in mind, they just suspended CB Hayden for 4 games, and their only offensive weapon, RB Richardson, had his knee scoped in the pre season, and if he plays, he is no where near 100%. Philadelphia has a knack for beating up on lousy Quarterbacks, and in this case, QB Weeden is it. PREDICTED SCORE: PHILADELPHIA 30 CLEVELAND 10.
STRAIGHT UP (MONEY LINE) : PHILADELPHIA
AGAINST THE SPREAD: PHILADELPHIA (-8.5)
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER 43.5.

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(39) BUFFALO VS. NEW YORK JETS (-3)

You compare Buffalo, to the rest of the teams in the AFC East, New England may be their only competition in this division. They may not be Super Bowl bound, but this might be the best Bills team in years. The Bill offensive line stands out. They only allowed 23 sacks in 2011. They are an elite, strong and athletic bunch. They have a top running back in Fred Jackson, that missed the second half of last season, due to injury. A healthy Jackson , should be able to gain significant yardage , behind his power run blocking line.They have one play maker at Wide Receiver, Stevie Johnson, and that is their only glaring weakness. At QB , Fitzgerald last season shown, that he can play Quarterback in the NFL. With all of his experience, and seasoning, he should reach the next level as a signal caller. On defense, they had 31 takeaways, and added Mario Williams an elite Defensive End, that will upgrade their pass rush.Their both Corner Backs are good in coverage, as well as having two outstanding safeties. They will work out of a 4-3 scheme, and should only make them better, with less holes.The New York Jets, are looking at a long season. They depleted their offense, and they struggled scoring in the pre-season. The Jets offensive line went from one of the best, to one of the worst.They have no depth, no capable running backs, and simply don't have any offensive weapons to work with. They failed to score one touchdown in the exhibition season, and lack Right & Left Tackles. Their defense is better than there offense, however, by how much?. They were once an elite defense, and in 2011 , they dropped to 20th in average points allowed (22.7). Revis, is on an island all by himself, and the rest of the secondary is suspect.On top of all that, the Quarterback controversy will shortly begin as soon as they start losing. Their Head Coach, Rex Ryan, doesn't know how to keep his mouth shut, and you can expect a New York media frenzy. This equates to "distractions", something that this team cannot afford. Additionally, the Jets lack a bonafide pass rush. In this match up, Buffalo has the edge. The only thing that I am not sure about, is how good their offense really is. The Bills had trouble scoring against top 10 defenses in the past. Now, they face a team that no longer is. Buffalo, should be able to pass rush at will, and pressure, and sack Sanchez. Expect an early Tim Tebow entrance, and a 2011 Denver like offense to show up . Buffalo, offensively will go with short passes, and utilize the legs of Fred Jackson to run the ball (Bills lost 2011 to the jets 28-24 w/o Jackson). The Jets offense , will be swallowed up by the Bills, simply because they have no go to guys at Wide receiver, or Running Back, or Quarterback. Looks like this game will be played conservatively down to the wire. PREDICTED SCORE: BUFFALO 17 NEW JETS 10.
STRAIGHT UP (MONEY LINE) BUFFALO
AGAINST THE SPREAD: BUFFALO (-3)
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER (39.0)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(47.5) NEW ENGLAND VS. TENNESSEE (+5.5)

Recapping last season, the Patriots lost the Super Bowl, and they now they a are cursed on having a bad 2012 season. SB losers, for some reason, and the records show it, have difficulty repeating . Tennessee, has a new head coach, and their now building this team around QB Jake Locker. The Pats offensive line took a hit in the off season. Matt Light retired, Mankin is returning from a torn ACL, and waters status was questionable. They had some issue with their line in the pre-season, and they may get off to a slow start with regards to their pass blocking protection for Brady. QB Brady again, will have many options on offense. They are explosive, and have many play makers. This is a passing team first, and a running team second. The running game will consist of three backs by committee, replacing BenJarvis -Green Ellis. The key for the Patriots here, is their offensive line. The better they are, the better their offense will be. Defensively, the Patriots have fielded some poor secondaries in recent years. New England, addressed this weakness in the off season, with two first round picks, Jones, and Hightower, to pass rush. They took a total of four defense men in the first three rounds. Still, the Pats offense, is their best defense. They also added a new scheme to their defense, and may help their pass coverage. Tennessee, has an excellent pass blocking offensive line, however, they are weak blocking up the middle to open holes for their running game. QB Jake Locker has the ability, but has average talent around him. In order to utilize their strength on offense, they must make running lanes for their featured RB Chris Johnson. Defensively, they're young and tough, but lack NFL experience, and action. Their secondary is good, but they lost Finnegan at one of the corners. They will play defense with respectability, and at the same time, will be prone to mistakes. In this match up, QB Brady struggled a little bit in the pre-season, with his offensive line. The Wes Welker distraction , or situation may have been a factor.. The Pats will need to pass block, since the Titans , are going to bring it !. Tennessee, bolstered their pass rush, and they played great in the pre-season. So expect Brady to be under a lot of pressure, when he drops back in the pocket. Tennessee, will counter with QB Jake Locker, that has strong arm, and the speed to shuffle out of the pocket when under pressure. Look for the Titans, to go deep up top, and challenge the Patriots weak safeties. I still like the Patriots, but considering that they open on the road, and their offensive line hasn't played up to their potential during the exhibition season, I don't like the fact that they are away favorites in this spot.PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND 24 TENNESSEE 20.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER (MONEY LINE): NEW ENGLAND
AGAINST THE SPREAD: TENNESSEE (+5.5)
UNDER/OVER TOTAL : UNDER (47.5)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(39.0)JACKSONVILLE VS. MINNESOTA (-4)

Jacksonville, comes off a nightmare of a season. They now have a new head coach, and a new system. The MJD holdout during the entire preseason didn't help at all. The Jags sport an above average offensive line, that has improved their pass protection.The problem still remains at the Quarterback position. Gabbard , cannot read defenses, nor can he stand in the pocket. They have a smash mouth defense, with a good front line, and decent linebackers. They also added speed to their front seven, and can cover both the outside, and the interior . The secondary has shown some improvement. Recall, in 2011, the entire secondary was injured. In 2012, the Jags will open with too many young players, without experience. Minnesota continues to have issues with their offensive line , in pass protection. They are good run blockers, and must rely heavily on their backs , to carry their offense. Problem is that Adrian Peterson, isn't 100%, even if he plays. Minnesota's only play maker at Wide Receiver, is Percy Harvin. The Vikings defense has an excellent pass rush, however, their secondary is so bad, they still get beat like drums. They patched up the secondary with rookie safeties, and a pair of free agent Corner Backs. They are pretty stout at defending against the run. Quarterback Ponder, had an excellent exhibition season, and his play should translate right into the 2012 regular season. In this match up, this game can go either way. The Jags have a lousy QB, that faces a poor Minnesota secondary. The Jags offense, is their running game, and Maurice Jones-Drew sat out the entire pre-season, and isn't in football shape.The Vikings have a good running game, however, Adrian Peterson is still healing. Their Quarterback is sufficient, and Percy Harvin, should be able to get open, since the Jags don't have a pass rush, to rattle Ponder in the pocket. Jacksonville, has trouble playing away at domes, and Gabbard just can't handle pressure situations. With all that said, the edge goes to the Vikes. PREDICTED SCORE: MINNESOTA 20 TAMPA BAY 14.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER(MONEY LINE): MINNESOTA
AGAINST THE SPREAD: MINNESOTA (-4)
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER (39.0)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(43) MIAMI VS. HOUSTON (-12.5)

Miami Dolphins, basically cleaned house, a new head coach, a new coaching staff, new offensive and defensive schemes, and little talent. The offensive line, has switched from a power blocking attack, to a zone-run block scheme. So expect a lot of mistakes, and adjustments to be made. The offense, doesn't even have a #1 pass receiver, and they made their rookie quarterback Tannehill the starter, without one game of NFL experience. Since the Dolphins lack a play maker receiver, Miami, will be forced to run their one dimensional running game with Bush. Opponents, will look for short pass, and will probably play 8 in the box, and plug up any gaps on the line. It will be an up hill battle in Miami to score points this season. On defense, Miami also changed their scheme, from a 3-4, to a 4-3. This defense, fits the criteria of their personnel, and should make them a better front seven. Dolphins have big holes at wide receiver, safety, and at linebacker. Houston, is going thru a transition phase, with regards to their offensive line. The talent has faded , and they have no depth, or experience. Their overall offense, has many play makers, Schaub, Foster, Johnson, Brown, and Myers. The Texans will have no trouble scoring, as long as their offensive line pass, and block protects. The other downside of the Texan offensive is, their key players often get injured, and they are out for long stretches. Defensively, in 2011 , they lost their best player, Mario Williams, early that season. Instead of their defense regressing, they actually maintained, or improved by season's end. They only surrendered 17.4 p.p.g., and were ranked second, in total defense. So in 2012, they have a solid defense, with a terrific front seven, their young, and will be a force to reckon with. They are simply one of the best NFL defenses in the game.In this match up, Miami will be lucky to score more than a touchdown. The biggest blow, is losing Jake Long, to the offensive line, due to a MCL sprain. Considering the fact that the Texans were in the top ten in stopping the run in 2011, and had a consistent pass rush. Miami's defense may keep them in the game in the first half. They do have play makers on that side of the ball, and they ranked third vs. the run last season.Problem is, by the second half, with Miami's offense going three and out, their defense will collapse after being warn out. PREDICTED SCORE: HOUSTON 27 MIAMI 10.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER (MONEY LINE): HOUSTON
AGAINST THE SPREAD: HOUSTON (-12.5)
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER (43.0)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(45.5) ST. LOUIS VS. DETROIT (-7)

The good news in St. Louis is that you have another head coach, Jeff Fisher. Fisher, will definitely improve their defense, and hopes to improve this squad as a whole. Problem is, he lacks talent, and doesn't have much to work with. Their offensive line, remains one of the worst in the NFL, and lack depth at the position.The Rams can't pass protect for their QB Bradford, who has fallen off as a signal caller, and hasn't played up to his potential. The Rams strength is their running game, and they rely heavily on Steven Jackson, and Pead, to make things happen offensively.Problem is they haven't any receivers that can stretch the defense, and that is when their opponents fill the box, and shadow Bradford the entire game. On defense, they are pretty decent up front with DE Chris Long, and addressed their problem at defensive tackle, with their 1st round pick, and they have a talented Linebacker, who can stop the run. Their weakness is, that they don't have a pass rush, to help out their secondary. the Rams revamped their pass defense, and have physical corner backs, however, their safeties can be beaten on a big play.Detroit, showed everyone in 2011, that they have become a better team. However, the combination of Suh's distractions, their undisciplined play, and mental mistakes, holds them back from reaching that next level. The offensive line, is getting older. They cannot run block, however, they are outstanding pass blockers. Detroit's game, is to pass the football first, and run second. QB Stafford, and wide receiver Calvin Johnson are a fantastic duo, that score off the charts. The Lions don't need a top running back to carry the load. They added more fire power, to the receiver positions, and slightly improved their offensive line. In this match up, Detroit has the edge in this contest, for the following reasons. They have the unstoppable Stafford, and Johnson connection, a physical defense, and gained more confidence , and experience, from last season. St. Louis, has trouble with their pass rush, and without it on Sunday, QB Stafford will have time in the pocket , to light up the scoreboard. St. Louis can run on the Lions. Detroit isn't efficient at stopping the run, however, once the Rams fall behind in the game, they will have to abandon their running game.PREDICTED SCORE: DETROIT 31 ST. LOUIS 17.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER (MONEY LINE): DETROIT
AGAINST THE SPREAD: DETROIT -7
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: OVER (45.5)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(43.5) ATLANTA VS. KANSAS CITY (+3)

Atlanta may be slipping, after their playoff loss to the N.Y. Giants, last season. Their offensive line's execution is below average, and still have to address many issues. However, their offense can still outscore their opponents. They have an outstanding bunch of play makers, that played in a conservative offensive scheme, that negated their ability. Their new offensive coordinator, will break that conservative mold, and open things up. Look for the Falcons to stretch the field, and watch their running , and passing game, live up to it's potential. On defense, they have problems at middle linebacker, and they are susceptible to the run. Their corner backs are top notch, and have a good safety. The only problem is, that they lack a consistent pass rush.Kansas City in 2011, was a season that they would like to forget due to the many key injuries suffered. In 2012, those players are now healthy, and you should expect a better performance from them this season. KC has an offensive line, that specializes in running the football. They play smash mouth football, and they utilize the run, before the pass.In the off season, KC added one of the best right tackles in the NFL, RB Peyton Hillis, and Boss at tight end.RB Jamaal Charles will carry the load, and those additions on offense, will be flanked by an excellent receiver corp.. On defense, they return a top notch defense, that is well coached. They have the line backers, corner backs, and safety, to go along with a good pass rush, to limit their opponents passing game.Their defensive front seven is untested, but loaded with 1st round picks, and top prospects. They key to Kansas City's season, rest on the shoulders of QB Cassel. In this match up, I am expecting an upset.Kansas City has the type of defense, that can take away Atlanta's QB Matt Ryan's game. KC , also has a solid running game, that will take advantage of the Falcons weak rush defense. The Falcons do not play as well outside their dome, on the road. KC, plays tougher at home. PREDICTED SCORE: KANSAS CITY 23 ATLANTA 20.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER:KANSAS CITY (UPSET)
AGAINST THE SPREAD: KANSAS CITY (+3)
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: UNDER (43.5)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(50.0) WASHINGTON VS. NEW ORLEANS (-7)

All the talk about the Redskins in the off season, was about their #1 draft pick Robert Griffin III (RG3). While the Skins went out and secured their quarterback of the future, they will suffer a losing season in the process. Washington's offensive line has health, and depth issues, and they are hoping that with RG3's speed, and athletic ability, will make them better. I see RG3 stepping in , like Cam Newton did for the Panthers. RG3, has talented wide outs to surround him, and a solid tight end. The Redskins on defense, is questionable except at the line backer positions. They can snuff the run, and are hard to attck up the middle. They are efficient at pass rushing the opposing QB. However, they had limited cap space, to improve upon their defense, which was never addressed. They lack a running back threat, and I guess they will utilize RG3 in that role. New Orleans, as you all know, has had that cloud of "Bounty Gate", hanging over their head in the off season. The Saints are strictly a passing team, and their offensive line specializes in that area. QB Drew Brees is an elite QB, and he likes to pass the football to his play makers . Brees is able to spread, and stretch the field, to find an open receiver.. Brees , will carry this team on his shoulders, and be more involved in the play calling, during his coach's suspension. On defense, the Saints made changes, and hired a new defensive coordinator, to turn around their bad 2011 defense.They will wake up their fierce front four, by adding on four new players. Their secondary is terrible, mainly because they don't have a pass rush. The saints have talent, and improved the team with Free Agent signings. In this match up, the Superdome is a tough place to play for any team, or QB. That is why I wonder how rookie QB RG3 will perform, in his first NFL game. Drew Brees looked good in the pre-season. Brees, does his best work under his own roof. The Redskins may have that pass rush, but Brees and his quick release, will negate most of the pressure.Brees will look to go on top , and challenge their two suspect journeymen safeties when they blitz. I like the Saints, however, I am fearful that the Saints can roll up a big lead, and late in the game, surrender garbage points to back door the spread. PREDICTED SCORE NEW ORLEANS 31 WASHINGTON 27.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER (MONEY LINE) NEW ORLEANS
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER:WASHINGTON (+7)
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: OVER (50.0)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(46.5) SAN FRANCISCO VS. GREEN BAY (-5)

In 2011, the 49ers had one terrific season, even if it didn't include a Super Bowl appearance. Their offensive line , was the heart of their offense. They played power football, and ran the football, and led the NFL in rushing. They are a physical, and scrappy bunch, and their efficiency, helped QB Alex Smith become a successful system quarterback. They went out and improved the offensive in the off-season, and added WR Jenkins, RB Jacobs to the mix. Evidently, SF isn't happy on just staying conservative with their running game. The want to open their offense up, and now have the play makers to do sn defense, the Niners, in 2011 , ranked 2nd in points allowed (14.3), and 2nd in total defense. Probably the best defense in the NFL, they will take on a weak NFC West division.They also return 11 starters to the defense. Green Bay, has an elite set on pass blockers, on the offensive line. They added veteran Center Saturday, and Rodgers will be well protected in the pocket. GB simply has an explosive offense, and to add more balance, they added RB Alex Green , to move the ball on the ground.On defense, check this out. GB finished last in the NFL in total defense. So they drafted 5 defensive playersin the first four rounds. They have a good secondary, and they drafted a pass rusher, Nick Pury, which is considered a blue chip player. Their defensive line is their only question mark, with new players learning their system. In this match up, both sides are loaded with talent. however, after doing my home work, I discovered that SF struggles defensively, when they play elite quarterbacks. (Go check out past games in the archives). Free agency , doesn't usually translate very well for NFL teams. In this case SF, has a bunch of players that have to learn a new system, and be able to make any adjustments to fit into their new team's scheme. I give Green Bay the edge. PREDICTED SCORE: GREEN BAY 34 SAN FRANCISCO 27.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER (MONEY LINE): GREEN BAY
AGAINST THE SPREAD: GREEN BAY (-5)
UNDER/OVER TOTAL: OVER (46.5)

 

[Murphy8276]

gl this week

-murph

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(47.0) CAROLINA VS. TAMPA BAY (+2.5)

Carolina, in 2011, reappeared on the radar screen, after their first round pick, Cam Newton, came on the scene. It was a great offensive season for the Panthers, however, they defense was awful. In 2012, Carolina's offensive line is as stout as ever. Not only were they the #1 rushing team in the NFL, they added better pass blockers to the line in 2012. Cam Newton, now has one year of NFL experience, and had a full training camp (recall the strike/lockout last season). Cam , and Steve Smith, hooked up, and they were both spectacular as an offensive duo. Take into account , they also have a triple threat, at the running back positions, Williams, Stewart, and Tolbert. This is not even factoring in the rushing ability of Cam Newton. Overall, this offense, is fast, strong, and explosive.Defensively, in the off season, the Panther management, did nothing to address their suspect defense. No attempts were made in the Draft, nor did they sign any free agents, to plug up their holes.The results, lack of talent, they can't stop the run, and they don't have a Defensive End that can pass rush with consistency. The good news is that they have good Linebackers, and Corners. However, the Corner Backs, have no support from their inept safety positions. Without a pass rush, and with poor play from the safety , they will get burned often on big plays. Tampa bay, comes off an awful 2011 season. They hired a tough, disciplinary head coach, and they hope that he can change the teams mind set, and play with a positive attitude. Their offensive line, is structured to run block for their heavy running attack. Problem is, this line, is overrated, and pass blocking may still be an issue. The million dollar question will be, is this offensive line improved enough, to at least provide adequate pass protection for their quarterback?. If QB Freeman continues to be sacked at a high rate like last season, you can expect more of the same anemic results on offense. The team did add a #1 receiver to the mix, but that won't be enough, to get their passing game off the grounds. Defensively, they should look better in 2012. They now have better coaching, and made some big improvements, by upgrading their speed on the defensive line with youth. Their front seven should be better vs. the run, but not by significant strides. They will make rookie mistakes, and resemble a defense in a rebuilding stage. Tampa, has a bad secondary, with no pass rush, in a tough elite quarterback division. In this match up, I see a high scoring , two score win for the Panthers. Tampa last season allowed 5.14 yards per game rushing. They allowed Carolina to rush for 314 yards, in their last two meetings. Offensively, QB Josh Freeman , has continued to struggle from 2011, into the pre-season. He has been having trouble learning their new offensive schemes, and hasn't had enough time to establish a chemistry with his receivers. However, if you look at the Carolina defense, they are also a mess. They ranked 27th, and 32nd, against the run, and pass. This could only help Freeman, to put some points up on the board. PREDICTED SCORE: CAROLINA 33 TAMPA BAY 23.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER (MONEY LINE): CAROLINA
AGAINST THE SPREAD: CAROLINA (-2.5)
OVER/UNDER TOTAL: OVER (47.0).

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(4O.5) SEATTLE VS. ARIZONA (+2.5)

In 2011, Seattle's Marshawn Lynch was their MVP, they fielded an excellent defense, and yet, the Seahawks only managed to go 7-9 on the season. The Seattle offensive line is better at run blocking, than in pass protection. They have a history of health concerns on the line, and they have been utilizing back ups, as starters. On offense, Russell Wilson won the starting QB job over Flynn. The Seahawks, will continue to scheme their power running game, with Lynch. However, can Lynch duplicate last seasons performance?. Usually there is a drop off, especially after he received a DUI, and could be facing a suspension during the season. On defense, Seattle featured an outstanding secondary, with four impact players. their front seven is versatile, and has depth. Their weakness on defense is their lack of a pass rush, and they don't have a proven pass rusher (ranked 19th in 2011 in sacks). Arizona, they return with the same pathetic offensive line. They are notorious for giving up sacks, and cannot pass protect. The Cards on offense have the play makers, however, will their quarterbacks stay healthy during the season, and execute under pressure?. If the get any kind of help from their offensive line, their defense will be explosive, against lessor NFL defensive teams. The will have trouble versus the elite defenses in the league. On defense, the Cards have a talented front seven. They can shut down the run, and pressure the opposing quarterback. Their problem lies within their secondary, that has issues in pass coverage.In this match up, I will have to slightly lean on Seattle , to win this game. Arizona lost their best offensive lineman, Levi Brown. They were bad with him, and the will be worse without him. Like I mentioned about the Cardinals facing elite defenses, they play a Seahawk team, that fits somewhere near, or in that category.Seattle upgraded the roster, to execute a more consistent pass rush in 2012. They should be improved enough in this match up against the Cardinals inept offensive line.Arizona will not be able to run the football against a stout Seattle front seven. Thus, QB Skelton, will not be able to shake off the pressure to pass. The other factor, is the rise of QB Russell Wilson at QB. He had a huge pre-season, and shown that he has good pocket awareness, scramble ability, and an accurate arm. Lastly, Marshawn Lynch, will destroy Arizona's weak run defense, if he plays. PREDICTED SCORE: SEATTLE 21 ARIZONA 17.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER(MONEY LINE) SEATTLE
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: SEATTLE (-2.5)
OVER/UNDER TOTAL: UNDER (40.5)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(44.5) PITTSBURGH VS. DENVER (-1.5)

Pittsburgh ended their season, by losing in the playoffs to Denver in an upset. You better believe that the Steelers have waited for months for this game, to avenge that loss. The Steeler offensive line has improved, and sured up their weak spots with talented rookies, and added a first round pick. Their offense is a high powered passing game, that has three big play makers at wide receiver. They are no longer a smash mouth run first team. Their running back situation , has declined talent wise, in the past few seasons. They can't depend on Mendenhall to stay healthy, since he is injury prone. Redman, isn't a physical enough running back, to carry to load full time. defensively, the Steelers ranked #1 in points allowed (14.2), and #1 in total defense. They have a dominant defense, that has a solid pass rush, and depth. The biggest positive to the Steeler success is, that they are able to bring in players to learn their system, and they are coached by the best staff in the NFL. The only draw back this season is, that the players they have brought in, lack experience. Denver, on the other hand, have completely changed their look since last season. Tebow, and the power running game is gone, Peyton Manning, and his passing offense is in.The Bronco offensive line is young, and talented. The question is, can they convert from a run blocking line, into a proficient pass blocking line?. So offensively, we don't know how much pass protection this line can provide for Manning at this time. Manning has two talented players at wide receiver, that can have big years. The problem is, that their running game is weak with Moreno, and McGhee. If they can't effectively run the ball, how can Manning find time in the pocket, if they become one dimensional?. On defense, the Broncos only have two playmakers, that remain on defense (Von Miller & Bailey). They are weak inside, and a hole at defensive tackle. Their defense has struggled against good opposing offenses, since they don't have a pass rush, and lack depth in their secondary. In this match up, I will take the points with the Steelers. Manning, isn't the same high level efficient QB, like he was on the Colts. Manning's offense in Denver, is less talented than the one he had in Indianapolis.They don't have a proven #1 wide receiver, not a premier running back, and a mediocre offensive line. Manning will be under pressure most of the game, since his inept running game will fail to gain any significant yardage against Pittsburgh's top five rush defense. Lastly, QB Ben Roethlisberger, had a great pre-season. PREDICTED SCORE: PITTSBURGH 27 DENVER 23.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER: PITTSBURGH
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: PITTSBURGH (+1.5)
OVER/UNDER : OVER (44.5)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(41.0) CINCINNATI VS. BALTIMORE (-6)

Cincinnati, came out of the closet last season, and established themselves as a team, to be reckoned with. The Bengal offensive line , gives great pass protection. They have experience, and depth. However, they are not good run blockers, and must improve in this area. Dalton in his rookie season, showed us that he is an NFL quarterback. Now, Dalton must step up to the next level, and prove that he belongs in that elite class.The Bengals have a decent running game, and Dalton, and receiver A.J. Green, have that chemistry, to make things happen on offense. They added depth, size, and speed, to the rest of their receiver corp., and have an all purpose running back Jarvis Green-Ellis, that can catch short passes out of the backfield.On defense, their front seven is athletic, and solid. They also added two new promising rookies from the draft. Their secondary, has to rebound from their injured riddled 2011 season. As long as their corner backs stay healthy, they will have excellent pass coverage. The Bengals are a good team on the rise, and are gaining experience. The problem is their lack of depth at the corners, and opposing teams will no longer look ahead to next game, when they play them.Baltimore, has played solid football, and they are awaiting QB Joe Flacco, to lead them to the promised land. The offensive line , is one of the best in the NFL, however, they have no depth behind their starters. Offensively, RB Ray Rice , is the pulse of this offense. They play power smash mouth football, and they run first, and pass second. In 2011, Joe Flacco, showed signs skill, as an NFL quarterback. It looks as though he reached the next level with his skills. This means that the Ravens, can get away from the conservative offense, and start opening up the field with Flacco's arm, to stretch the opposing defenses.On defense , Baltimore is loaded with talent. Their front seven is athletic,disciplined, and has depth. The only negative that I can see, is the average age of this team. Aging, may create more injuries to key personnel, and may effect their chances at another Super Bowl run. In this match up, QB Flacco is coming off a good pre-season, and continues to show improvement. He and WR Torrey Smith are becoming a lethal combo. Flacco has had his biggest games against Cincinnati, and was able to pick apart their secondary. Ray Rice should have a good game. QB Dalton , has struggled in the pre-season. His passes were off the mark to his receivers, and he must face the Raven stout defense.The Bengals, will not be able to run on the Ravens front seven, that was ranked #2 , in 2011, versus the rush. Lastly, Baltimore plays great football at home.PREDICTED SCORE; BALTIMORE 27 CINCINNATI 17.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER (MONEY LINE): BALTIMORE
AGAINST THE SPREAD: BALTIMORE (-6)
OVER/UNDER TOTAL: OVER (41.0)

 

[BROOKLYNWORM]

(47.0) SAN DIEGO VS. OAKLAND (-1)

The San Diego Chargers are overrated, end of sentence. Their offensive line rates below average, and they don't have a right tackle, to protect Phillip River's blind side. The offense slumped in 2011, mainly because that TE Antonio Gates was injured, and Rivers, was just awful . They added wide receivers Meachum, and Royal, and LT Gaither. RB Ryan Matthews is now healthy (P.S., for now), and they must establish the run somehow, with this suspect offensive line. On defense, they added two new linebackers, that can run stop, and pass rush. Their inside game is strong, and they have the best safety in the NFL. Problem is their corner backs are terrible, and their secondary can be beat. Oakland, in 2011, showed improvement in the first half of the season, and it was downhill from there, after they lost McFadden for the rest of that season. Their offensive line, has a new scheme, and a new coordinator, that relies heavily on run blocking, and lack depth and experience. The offense has the veteran QB Palmer, speedy wide receivers, and McFadden at running back. Mc Fadden must stay healthy, in order for their offense to click. If he misses games again for a long period of time, their opponents will gang up on them like last season, and play nickle, and dime packages, and take away the pass.The Raider defense, has the worst corners in the NFL, they have weak spots at key positions. They have a good defensive line, and are strong at safety. In this match up, I like the raiders for the following reasons. QB Phillips Rivers continues to struggle into the preseason. He has a poor supporting cast on offense, they are presently dealing with key injuries, their defense can't keep up with the Raider offense, and Norv Turner is a lousy head coach. PREDICTED SCORE: OAKLAND 30 SAN DIEGO 24.
STRAIGHT UP WINNER (MONEY LINE) OAKLAND
AGAINST THE SPREAD WINNER: OAKLAND (-1)
OVER/UNDER TOTAL: OVER (47.0)

 

[Jstack34]

Why is this in the rubber room and not nfl?